The alternative energy specialists tell us that the cross over from the petroleum-driven economy and society will not be a smooth one, on the whole. The level of new technologies and infrastructures that need to be designed and built is staggering – even as Germany achieves powering 10% of the entire nation through the use of wind turbines and solar arrays, even as firm after firm is springing up, helped by various governments’ tax breaks and rebate incentives, to drive forward the alternative energy mission. We have lain dormant on alternative energy on the grand scale for so long that we today have to scramble to play catch-up as access to cheap oil lurks ever closer to being a thing of the past.
Specialists on natural energy also tell us that we need multilateral, international efforts in concert with each other in the direction of getting away from the hefty – almost total – dependence on fossil fuels. They are poised to become too expensive, burning them is polluting the atmosphere, and digging for them is disrupting the organic and natural environment. We have about 30 years left of reasonably cheap oil and gas – and consultants say that within 20 years over and above that point, we had better be at least 90% independent of them. Unfortunately, at the present time the world is largely not acting as if this is the case. The thirst for oil is increasing, not slaking, and it is expanding faster now than it did even in the 1970s.
One of the major problems of passage, the consultants point out, is that higher oil and gas prices energize the economy (This flies in the face of what many energy so-called “authorities” and many members of the public believe, but the fact is that oil and gas are unearthed and manufactured and transported by huge corporations who employ multitudes of staff workers and contractors; and via their huge profits their stocks remain highly profitable on Wall Street.). Natural, or “green” energy must become more marketplace friendly, more worthwhile to investors and would-be employers. Wall Street doesn’t like change; so there is resistance to this much-needed economic transition. It is because of this that many specialists are saying that we need an international, governments-backed initiative put into place; we are told that we cannot expect the new economy to spring forth overnight, all clean and polished and perfected, coming from the black cinders of the fossil fuel economy phoenix.
It is most important that the wealthy, big-production nations around the world such as the US, Japan, Western Europe, and others be the ones to spearhead the efforts to get off of the fossil fuel dependence. Smaller, poorer nations are very simply not going to achieve the amount of energy production through coal and oil that these countries have – for by the time they would be equipped to, the cheap easy access to the fossil fuels will be gone, and they will simply never be able to sustain their newly-risen civilizations at that point in time as we have been able to do. The time for transition from black to green is now.
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